China and South Africa:
Most Attractive FDI Destinations in the BRICS
Prof
(Dr.) Anil Kumar Goyal
Professor,
Rukmini Devi Institute of Advanced Studies,
New Delhi (India).
Jyoti
Gupta
Assistant Professor,
Rukmini Devi Institute of Advanced Studies,
New Delhi (India).
Richa
Mehta
Assistant Professor,
Rukmini Devi Institute of Advanced Studies,
New Delhi (India).
Abstract
In the present era of globalization and high competition, every country is striving to attract maximum Foreign Development Investment (FDI) from other countries for its economic growth and development. BRICS comprising Brazil, Russian Federation, India, China and South Africa, is a group of developing countries. BRICS accounted for 22 percent of global GDP but received only 11 percent of global inward FDI stock in 2016 (World Investment Report 2017). Many Multinational organizations of developed countries look for the best destination for their projects to invest in the form of FDI. The purpose of the study is to identify the most attractive FDI destination among The BRICS nations. The FDI inflow in any country depends on availability of various factors; hence this study proves into the existence of factors in the BRICS countries. Secondary data has been used to rank of BRICS countries on various factors which attract FDI inflow. The study indicates that both China and South Africa are emerging as attractive FDI destinations among BRICS economies. This paper is useful for all the countries as well as MNCs, which are searching for investment destinations in the BRICS nations as it ranks these five nations on the basis of attractiveness of various determinants of FDI.
Keywords:
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow; BRICS
Countries; Multinational Organizations; Factors attracting FDI inflow; and FDI
Destination.
Introduction
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is one of the ways in which International
factor movement (IFM) occurs which is the key factor in building international
trade.
FDI inflow has significantly contributed to BRICS countries by influencing the
level of growth in terms of capital flows, technology transfer and knowledge
transfer and has been phenomenal. FDI inflow stimulates the economic growth of
recipient country and bridges the gap between saving and investment needs of
host country. According to the (Economy, 2017), FDI inflows to the
five BRICS countries rose by 7 per cent to $ 277 billion in 2016. FDI inflow to
BRICS was more than the outflow of Group. BRICS is the host to 24 per cent of
the world’s 500 largest companies.
FDI inflow depends on
various factors available in the country. Initially foreign investors prefer to
invest through FDI because of better control over assets and operations of the
organization. But the trend has changed and found that foreign investors prefer
to invest in an economy where sufficient human capital, good infrastructure,
economic stability and liberalized markets are available to reap the benefits
from foreign direct investment (Bengoa & Sanchez-robles,
2003).
A rise in consumption and availability of production facilities in developing economies have made it easy to shift projects by MNCs in these economies and increase in investment for market seeking and efficiency-seeking projects. Studies show that there is a positive relationship between FDI inflow and economic growth; hence economies try to develop encouraging conditions to attract FDI inflow in their countries. Developing countries are taking care of the development of infrastructure, availability of hassle free work force, allowing access to market, liberalization of economic policies and stability to invite the foreign direct investment in their economies. Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS Countries) are the most prominent countries of developing economies.
In
order to attract FDI inflow, policy makers should think of improving the
process and identify their areas of improvements regarding the determinants of
FDI inflow. So much research work has been done in the area of determinants of
FDI inflow. Fernandez, M., & Joseph, R. in 2016, mentioned in
their study that Qatar is the emerging FDI attracting economy among the GCC. The
present study is helpful in providing the determinants of FDI inflows in BRICS
economies and the degree to which these factors affect the inflow of FDI. To
attract more FDI, policy makers of these countries should work to improve the
significant determinants.
Literature Review:
FDI
being one of most prevalent topics has been studied by many researchers. Some
tried to
investigate
its importance and others tried to identify the reasons of its existence.
Chakraborty,
C.,et.al. analysed with the help of Granger causality tests in his research
that after New Economic Reforms of 1991, the FDI actually contributed to the
economic growth and development (Chakraborty, Nunnenkamp, & amp; Economy,
2008) . Many studies used the concept of Granger Causality for proving the
contribution of FDI in economic growth (Gupta
&
Singh, 2016). This view is known to everyone and also well proven. In India the
FDI came into action after the stagnation period of 1991 when India confronted
a crunch in its foreign exchange. It was just a commencement of the new vibrant
era, not only for India but for the whole world. The present Paper will try to
establish that which country amongst the BRICS
Nations
is the most attractive destination for FDI?
As cleared from so many studies that FDI endorses
economic growth and wellbeing of the nation so it is imperative from the point
of view of countries to attract more FDI, but the question arises that how many
actually succeeded.
Borensztein,
E., De Gregorio, J.,et.al. Studied the data of 69 countries and concluded that
FDI is more than only an investment. It is a growth channelizing agent which works
well when the host economy is able to absorb its fruits of advanced technology.
It also mentioned that the FDI will become more efficient when the host
economy’s Financial Sector is developed (Borensztein, Gregorio, & Lee,
1998; Mostafa, 2013) .
In
an another study in 2003 by Hermes, N., & Lensink, R., it was analysed
with the help of empirical analysis on 67 countries that the FDI contributes to
the economic growth only when the Financial Sector growth of the host country
is coupled with it (Hermes & Lensink, 2003)
For
the purpose of attracting more market oriented Foreign Direct Investment,
countries are expected to have a good economic growth, large market size and
increased economic development. Therefore all these factors contributes as a
determinant of FDI in the host country (Duan, 2008; Gupta & Singh,
2016) .
In
2006, Yao S. researched that China remained the most striking destination for
FDI and it could have been due to certain policies of China like adopting
various business practices of the world, latest technologies and promoting
trade. Researcher also stated that that FDI are the roots beneath the
miraculous growth of china (Yao & Yao, 2016).
A
study conducted in 1999, tinted the variable competitiveness mentioned in this
study also. The study of 1999 conducted on Brazilian Economy, by Bonelli, R.
stated that there is a positive correlation between the competitiveness in the
host economy’s industrial setup and FDI but the causation on either of the side
is not clearly visible (Bonelli, 2007; Kreppel, 2003) .
Positive
correlation is seen between FDI and Trade openness in the studies of many researchers.
The reason behind streaming this determinant could be the air of liberalization
in economies. They prefer to open their venues for investors, especially in
case of capital goods (Heinz & Tomenendal, 2012; Mackie, 2015).
Exchange
Rate volatility has remained a factor which deleteriously effects the FDI as
studied. It has been observed that those countries which are affected by high
rates of exchange rate fluctuations usually discouraged foreign direct
investment. Interest Rate and Exchange Rate fluctuations are considered as a
risk factor for economic prospects and also businesses do not flourish and
breed in such state of affairs (Alon, 2008; Kaur, Yadav, & Gautam,
2013)
Political
Instability, bureaucracy, controls, ineffective tax structures are established
to be some other variables which negatively impacts countries FDI, also the
deleterious attitude of nation’s government have unfavourable impact on investors.
In addition to the above variables, corruption is also an undesirable stimulus
for the MNCs while considering for investment in the host countries (Fernandez
& Joseph, 2016; Windsor, n.d.)
However,
there are studies available which states that the impact of FDI is two way,
means the increased FDI in an economy also helps in reducing the level of
corruption in the host economy. (Kwok & Tadesse, 2006; Orruption
& B, 2004)
For
reducing the distance between production source and demand source, MNCs
generally considers location and market size factors. Also, the quality and
quantity of labour force existing in the host economy also serves as an important
parameter before investing countries. Japanese investors are extremely
attracted towards the Chinese economy mainly because of the efficient labour
force, low cost labour and high potential of the market. Infrastructure of
China is also developed when equated to few other neighbouring nations (Cassidy
& Andreosso-O’Callaghan, 2006) (William J. Wales, Vinit Parida,
& Patel, 2013). As, determined through many studies, these determinants
combine and lays mutual impact on the FDI decisions of the investing countries.
The literature supports the advantages of the FDI for the host countries but
other important determinants repeatedly considered while analysing those
advantages are competences of the host country. The expenditure of the government
of host country on Technology advancement and also in making its economy more
competitive is the factor studied by many researchers. A book published in
association of World Bank highlighted the importance of technological
advancements and competences in attracting FDI in the host nation (Lall
& Urata, 2003)
The
study by Ali ACARAVCI in 2012 proved that size of the market, market openness
and per capita income in the economy significantly affects the foreign direct
investment of any nation, however the study was restricted to the EU Countries
(Ozturk, 2012).
The
study conducted by Eric Neumayer, 2005 analysed child labour and trade openness
as the determinants of FDI and concluded that the child labour impacts
negatively but availability of raw material and less restrictive trade practices
positively impacts the FDI (Neumayer & De Soysa, 2005) .
Also,
the literature related to the benefits of the FDI is of relevance. FDI is used
for promoting growth opportunities and infrastructural development in the host
nations.
According
to a study conducted in 2014, the FDI is not only required for channelizing
growth in the country but that is also a source of revenue for the host economy
and used for the accomplishment of various investment projects (Almutawa, 2014)
Another study conducted in 2006, confirmed
that increased capital formation and job opportunities from foreign companies
helps an economy in reducing its unemployment rates as well. Also, it is a
catalyst to the development of the financial sector of the host economy.
(Muysken & Nour, 2006)
Another
study in the same year stated that the manufacturing sector is also benefitted
a lot with the FDI as it provides them the required capital which would be
difficult to generate with in the economy. Also, it promotes tourism, thereby proving
a source of earning to the residents of the host country. (Mina, 2007) A study
in 2013 was very true in its nature stating that the FDI attracts FDI, means in
the long run more stakeholders gets attracted towards the economy in which
currently a good number of investors are showing their interest. Espinoza, R.,
Fayad, G., & amp; Prasad, A. (2013).
A
study conducted on France economy by incorporating a very long time period i.e.
1965- 2017, concluded that education, electricity consumption and transportation
are playing important role in determining the FDI in the economy. It established
a nonlinear relationship with U-shaped curve (Shahbaz & Nasir, n.d.).
Another
study conducted on Pakistan showed that government size and stability, legal structure
and rights to hold asset particularly Real Estate has positive correlation with
the FDI in any economy (Uddin, Chowdhury, Zafar, Shafique, & Liu, 2018)
.
Financial,
economic and political aspects contribute in the process of decision making in
the FDI. Rebates in taxes, government credence and commitment and acquisition
of assets are evolved as few important determinants of the FDI (Mahbub
& Jongwanich, 2019).
In
conclusion to the above stated literature the trends of FDI have remained
asymmetrical and uneven among nations. There are many factors accountable for
such trends but this study is restricted to BRICS nations and their comparative
analysis in terms of determinants of the FDI, which makes them more or less
attractive.
Methodology
The
purpose of the study is to identify the most attractive FDI destination in the BRICS
economies. The FDI inflow in any country depends on availability of various factors;
hence this study proves into the existence of factors in the BRICS countries.
Secondary data has been used to rank BRICS nations on various factors which
attract FDI inflow. Secondary data has been collected from World Economic
Forum, International Monetary Fund, Transparency International, World Bank
group. The study focuses on the decade starting 2007-2008 to 2016-2017. The
collected data is tabulated and analyzed using appropriate analytical tools to
draw meaningful conclusion.
Analysis and Interpretation
Determinants
The Global Competitiveness Report is published
by the World Economic Forum (WEF) every year. The report analysis the
competitiveness, strength/opportunities of global economies, thereby providing
insights into the drivers of their productivity and prosperity. The Report
series is assumed to be of utmost importance and a comprehensive assessment of
national competitiveness worldwide.
Table 1: The Competitiveness of
BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank
1 is the Best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
72 |
64 |
56 |
58 |
53 |
48 |
56 |
57 |
75 |
81 |
Russia |
58 |
51 |
63 |
63 |
66 |
67 |
64 |
53 |
45 |
43 |
India |
48 |
50 |
49 |
51 |
56 |
59 |
60 |
61 |
55 |
39 |
China |
34 |
30 |
29 |
27 |
26 |
29 |
29 |
28 |
28 |
28 |
South Africa |
44 |
45 |
45 |
54 |
50 |
52 |
53 |
56 |
49 |
47 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 1 represents the global
competitiveness ranking for the BRICS countries during the period 2007-2008 to
2016-2017 based on the parameters such as intensity of local competition,
extent of market dominance, effectiveness of anti-monopoly policy, availability
of taxation incentives to invest, various tax rate as percentage of profits,
number of procedures to start a business, number of days to start a business,
agricultural policies, prevalence of trade barriers, trade tariffs as
percentage duty, prevalence of foreign ownership, business impact of rules on
FDI, burden of customs procedures, imports as a percentage of GDP, degree of
customer orientation and buyer sophistication.
Table 2: The Competitiveness of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
Russia |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
India |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
3.4 |
China |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
South Africa |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
2.6 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-08 to 2016-17 |
Table 2 gives the filtered ranking for BRICS
economies. The Global Competitiveness Report for the period 2007-08 to
2016-2017 rank China as the most competitive and attractive country among BRICS
counties for all the years during study. Initially the second position was held
by South Africa but later on its rank deteriorated with some corrections and in
the last year of study it further declined to four. The results for India are
mixed: constant for first three year then improved in fourth year, then again deteriorated
continuously till 2015-16 but in the last year of study it improved drastically
from five to two. This could have been due to formation of new government at
the centre in 2014, making some quick and effective decisions relating to FDI
policies. Other countries also have mixed results.
From the table, it can be inferred that
China remains the best FDI destination among the BRICS nations for the decade
starting 2007-08 and ending 2016-17.
Determinants
of Foreign Direct Investment inflow:
1.
Availability
of Growing and Effective Market
Market size and market efficiency are
important determinants of FDI. These are important pulling factors of the
country’s economy and are positively co-related to the level of FDI flows. A
huge market size allows attainment of economies of scale and transaction costs
are lower in countries with higher levels of economic development (Caves, 1971;
Zhao and Zhu, 2000).
The market size can be measured by
growth of population of the country. BRICS, being a consortium of developing
nations, is favored by tourists from across the globe. The growing population
of residents and tourists brings plethora of opportunities for the investors-
both domestic as well as international in these economies. Moreover, favorable
government policies and strong investment opportunities provides a good market
for the FDI. Table 3 gives the global ranking and Table 4 gives the filtered
ranking for the market efficiency for the period starting 2007-08 to 2016-2017
of BRICS nation.
Table 3: Goods Market Efficiency of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
97 |
101 |
99 |
114 |
113 |
104 |
123 |
123 |
128 |
128 |
Russia |
84 |
99 |
108 |
123 |
128 |
134 |
126 |
99 |
92 |
87 |
India |
36 |
47 |
48 |
71 |
70 |
75 |
85 |
95 |
91 |
60 |
China |
58 |
51 |
42 |
43 |
45 |
59 |
61 |
56 |
58 |
56 |
South Africa |
32 |
31 |
35 |
40 |
32 |
32 |
28 |
32 |
38 |
28 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 4: Goods Market Efficiency of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4.5 |
Russia |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4.5 |
India |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2.8 |
China |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2.2 |
South Africa |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
During the ten year period of study,
South Africa emerged as the best economy among BRICS for Goods Market
Efficiency.
2.
Infrastructure
Infrastructure is one
of the major determinants of FDI. Good infrastructure plays a pivotal role in
the profitability of the Multinational Corporations (MNCs). The decision about
FDI location is positively correlated to excellent infrastructural facilities
in the country. Table 5 gives the global ranking of the best infrastructure in
the world of BRICS economies. Table 6 gives the filtered ranking of the BRICS
nations, for the period of 2007-08 to 2016-17. The data collected was based on
the quality of roads, railway infrastructure, seaport infrastructure, airport
infrastructure, electricity supply, telecommunications, etc. Global rankings
suggest Russia to be a promising economy in terms of infrastructure.
Table 5: Infrastructure of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
78 |
78 |
74 |
62 |
64 |
70 |
71 |
76 |
74 |
72 |
Russia |
65 |
59 |
71 |
47 |
48 |
47 |
45 |
39 |
35 |
35 |
India |
67 |
72 |
76 |
86 |
89 |
84 |
85 |
87 |
81 |
68 |
China |
52 |
47 |
46 |
50 |
44 |
48 |
48 |
46 |
39 |
42 |
South Africa |
43 |
48 |
45 |
63 |
62 |
63 |
66 |
60 |
68 |
64 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 6: Infrastructure of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4.2 |
Russia |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1.7 |
India |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4.7 |
China |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1.8 |
South Africa |
1 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2.6 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings of the
BRICS nations during the period 2007-08 to 2016-17, it can be inferred that
Russia is the most preferred destination for FDI in terms of infrastructure. It
can also be seen that China has also maintained it’s position at number two,
investing continuously in infrastructural development projects.
3.
Labour
Market efficiency
A dynamic and vibrant labour force
attracts Foreign Direct Investments. International investors consider skilled
labour force as a major factor that determines their success in the country.
China’s shift from a centrally planned economy to a market oriented economy led
to increase in per capita income of the country. Simultaneously, educational
reforms were also introduced during the period that further pushed the Chinese
economy. Table 7 shows the global rankings of Labour Market Efficiency of BRICS
nations and Table 8 shows filtered ranking of these nations.
Table 7: Labour Market Efficiency of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
104 |
91 |
80 |
96 |
83 |
69 |
92 |
109 |
122 |
117 |
Russia |
33 |
27 |
43 |
57 |
65 |
84 |
72 |
45 |
50 |
49 |
India |
96 |
89 |
83 |
92 |
81 |
82 |
99 |
112 |
103 |
84 |
China |
55 |
51 |
32 |
38 |
36 |
41 |
34 |
37 |
37 |
39 |
South Africa |
78 |
88 |
90 |
97 |
95 |
113 |
116 |
113 |
107 |
97 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 8: Labour Market Efficiency of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
5 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
3.9 |
Russia |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
India |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3.5 |
China |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1.2 |
South Africa |
3 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4.4 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings of
the BRICS economies, China remains the most preferred destination for labour
market efficiency during the decade with economic and educational reforms
playing a key role in overall development. It can also be observed that Russia,
which was placed at first position in the beginning of the decade, tumbled to
fourth position in the year 2012-13, but with growth in economic activities,
improved its position to second place at the end of the decade. Rest all
economies performed consistently well during this period.
4.
Technological
Readiness
For any developing nation, attracting an
inflow of FDI strengthens its networking with rest of the developed economies.
Any country with an obsolete technology would mean slow and costly operations.
Hence a shift in investment would be imperative. Technological readiness is
influential in attracting FDI to any nation. Table 9 shows global ranking of
Technological readiness of BRICS economies and Table 10 shows the filtered rankings of these nations during
the period 2007-08 to 2016-17.
Table 9: Technological Readiness of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
55 |
56 |
46 |
54 |
54 |
48 |
55 |
58 |
54 |
59 |
Russia |
72 |
67 |
74 |
69 |
68 |
57 |
59 |
59 |
60 |
62 |
India |
62 |
69 |
83 |
86 |
93 |
96 |
98 |
121 |
120 |
110 |
China |
73 |
77 |
79 |
78 |
77 |
88 |
85 |
83 |
74 |
74 |
South Africa |
46 |
49 |
65 |
76 |
76 |
62 |
62 |
66 |
50 |
49 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 10: Technological Readiness of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1.4 |
Russia |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2.6 |
India |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4.7 |
China |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4.2 |
South Africa |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2.1 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings,
South Africa was placed first at the beginning of the decade starting 2007-08. But
with the passage of time there was an economic slump in South Africa which
severely affected its economy and it tumbled down to third position for five
consecutive accounting years. According to the World Bank Report on South
Africa Economic Update (Authorized, n.d.) Slow private investment growth and
weak integration into global value chains prevent the country from reaping the
new economic opportunities emerging around the globe and from catching up with
living standards in peer economies. 2015-16 marked the end of super commodity
cycle and severe drought in South Africa. At the end of the decade, South
Africa regained its first position in terms of technological readiness among
BRICS nations.
It can also be observed that Brazil,
Russia and China performed consistently well during the period. India, which
was placed at number three in 2007, moved down to fifth place due to slow
economic activity at the end of 2017.
5.
Financial
Market Development
Financial Markets play a pivotal role in
attracting FDI. It has been observed that countries with well-developed
financial markets attract higher FDIs as compared to the countries with not so
efficient financial markets. Table 11 shows the global rankings of BRICS
economies in terms of Financial Market development and Table 12 shows the
filtered rankings of these nations for the period 2007-08 to 2016-17. Global
rankings suggest south Africa to be a promising economy in terms of Financial
Market Development.
Table 11: Financial Market Development of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
73 |
64 |
51 |
50 |
43 |
46 |
50 |
53 |
58 |
93 |
Russia |
109 |
112 |
119 |
125 |
127 |
130 |
121 |
110 |
95 |
108 |
India |
37 |
34 |
16 |
17 |
21 |
21 |
19 |
51 |
53 |
38 |
China |
118 |
109 |
81 |
57 |
48 |
54 |
54 |
54 |
54 |
56 |
South Africa |
25 |
24 |
5 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
11 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 12: Financial Market Development of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is
the best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3.2 |
Russia |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4.9 |
India |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
China |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3.9 |
South Africa |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
As per the filtered rankings it can be
inferred that South Africa has the best financial market of all the BRICS
economies. India has also fared consistently well by maintaining its position
at number two throughout the period of study. With an increase in economic
activities, suitable government policies and economic reforms, these two
countries have been preferred globally for FDIs. Russia is the least developed
of all the BRICS nations in terms of financial markets.
6.
Market
Size
In times of dynamic and uncertain
business environment, a large number of firms are engaged in activities which
are not only confined to the national borders, but which also broaden their
horizon internationally. For expanding the size of their markets, firms need
more investment opportunities for which they seek more funds. Market size is an
important determinant of FDI. Table 13 shows the global rankings of the BRICS
nations in terms of market size and Table 14 shows the filtered rankings of
these economies for the period 2007-08 to 2016-17. Global rankings suggest
China as the country with a huge market size.
Table 13: Market Size of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
Russia |
9 |
8 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
India |
3 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
China |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
South Africa |
21 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
29 |
30 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 14: Market Size of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Russia |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
India |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
China |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
South Africa |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings of
the BRICS economies, it can be seen that China has the largest market size.
With an ever growing population, competitive pricing policies and an open
economy, China has emerged as the most preferred destination for FDI. It can
also be observed that India has the second largest market size among these
nations. South Africa, despite being the second largest African economy, is
placed fifth in terms of market size among all BRICS nations for the period
2007-08 to 2016-17.
7.
Business
Sophistication
Business sophistication refers to the
quality of country’s overall business environment- both macro environment as
well as micro environment. It is one of the determinants of FDI. Table 15 shows
the global rankings and Table 16 shows the filtered rankings of the BRICS
economies for the period 2007-08 to 2016-17 in relation to business
sophistication. According to the Global Competitiveness Report of World
Economic Forum, South Africa has the most conducive business environment.
Table 15: Business Sophistication of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
39 |
35 |
32 |
31 |
31 |
33 |
39 |
47 |
56 |
63 |
Russia |
88 |
91 |
95 |
101 |
114 |
119 |
107 |
86 |
80 |
72 |
India |
26 |
27 |
27 |
44 |
43 |
40 |
42 |
57 |
52 |
35 |
China |
57 |
43 |
38 |
41 |
37 |
45 |
45 |
43 |
38 |
34 |
South Africa |
36 |
33 |
36 |
38 |
38 |
38 |
35 |
31 |
33 |
30 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 16: Business Sophistication of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
3 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2.4 |
Russia |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
India |
1 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2.7 |
China |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3.1 |
South Africa |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1.8 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings,
South Africa has the best working business environment among BRICS economies.
This is the result of competitive advantage offered by the nation.
8.
Innovation
Index
Innovation is also an important
determinant of FDI. It is important to note that with the support and
encouragement from their respective governments, how these developing nations
are giving importance to the innovation and enhancement of knowledge. Table 17
gives the global rankings and Table 18 gives the filtered rankings of BRICS
economies during 2007-08 to 2016-17 based on their capacity to use advanced
technology, innovations, and expenditure incurred on research and development.
Table 17: Innovation Index of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
44 |
43 |
43 |
42 |
44 |
49 |
55 |
62 |
84 |
100 |
Russia |
57 |
48 |
51 |
57 |
71 |
85 |
78 |
65 |
68 |
56 |
India |
28 |
32 |
30 |
39 |
38 |
41 |
41 |
49 |
42 |
29 |
China |
38 |
28 |
26 |
26 |
29 |
33 |
32 |
32 |
31 |
30 |
South Africa |
32 |
37 |
41 |
44 |
41 |
42 |
39 |
43 |
38 |
35 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
Source: The Global Competitiveness Report, World
Economic Forum 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Table 18: Innovation index of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4.1 |
Russia |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4.8 |
India |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2.1 |
China |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1.3 |
South Africa |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2.7 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
131 |
134 |
133 |
139 |
142 |
144 |
148 |
144 |
140 |
138 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Global Competitiveness Report, World Economic Forum
2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
Global rankings suggest India to have
the best innovation index of all the BRICS nations. According to the filtered
rankings, India and China have worked extremely well in terms of boosting their
expenditure on R&D, use of advanced technology and their capacity for
innovations during the period 2007-08 t 2016-17.
9.
The
Corruption Perception Index
The Transparency International’s
Corruption Perceptions Index measures the perceived levels of public-sector
corruption in a given country. The CPI rank 1 means highly clean country and as
the rank increases, it indicates high level of corruption in the country. Higher
level of corruption hinders free and fair trade. With respect to FDI, the level
of corruption in the host country influences the decisions of the international
investors. Table 19 gives the global
rankings and Table 20 gives the filtered rankings of the BRICS economies during
the period 2007-08 to 2016-17 based on Corruption Perception Index in these
nations. Global rankings recommend South Africa to have least corruption among
all BRICS nations.
Table 19: The Corruption Perception Index of BRICS Economies |
||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Global Ranking
During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
|
Brazil |
80 |
75 |
69 |
73 |
69 |
72 |
69 |
76 |
79 |
96 |
Russia |
147 |
146 |
154 |
143 |
133 |
127 |
136 |
119 |
131 |
135 |
India |
85 |
84 |
87 |
95 |
94 |
94 |
85 |
76 |
79 |
81 |
China |
72 |
89 |
78 |
75 |
80 |
80 |
100 |
83 |
79 |
77 |
South Africa |
54 |
55 |
54 |
64 |
69 |
72 |
67 |
61 |
63 |
71 |
No. of Economies Ranked |
180 |
178 |
177 |
176 |
177 |
175 |
168 |
176 |
180 |
180 |
Source: The Transparency International 2007-2008
to 2016-2017 |
Table 20: The Corruption Perception Index of BRICS Economies |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||
2007-2008 |
2008-2009 |
2009-2010 |
2010-2011 |
2011-2012 |
2012-2013 |
2013-2014 |
2014-2015 |
2015-2016 |
2016-2017 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
|
Brazil |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
2.1 |
Russia |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
India |
4 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3.3 |
China |
2 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
South Africa |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
No. of Economies
Ranked |
180 |
178 |
177 |
176 |
177 |
175 |
168 |
176 |
180 |
180 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from the Transparency International 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the filtered rankings,
South Africa emerges s the cleanest nation in terms of corruption practices
followed among the BRICS nations during 2007-08 to 2016-17. It also indicates
Russia to be the most corrupt nations of all the BRICS economies during the
aforementioned period.
10.
Ease
of Doing Business
Investors prefer that country where the
working business environment is conducive enough for them to survive in the
long run. World Bank ranks economies on the basis of ease of doing business in
terms of regulatory environment. A high ease of doing business rank would mean
that the regulatory environment is conducive enough to start and operate a
firm. Table 21 gives the global rankings and Table 22 gives the filtered
rankings of the BRICS economies in terms of ease of doing business for the
period 2008-2018.
Table 21: Ease of Doing
Business Global Ranking
During 2008 to 2017 (Rank 1 is the best) |
|||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
122 |
125 |
129 |
127 |
126 |
130 |
116 |
120 |
116 |
123 |
125 |
|
106 |
120 |
120 |
123 |
120 |
112 |
92 |
62 |
51 |
40 |
35 |
|
120 |
122 |
133 |
134 |
132 |
132 |
134 |
142 |
130 |
130 |
100 |
|
83 |
83 |
89 |
79 |
91 |
91 |
96 |
90 |
84* |
78 |
78 |
|
35 |
32 |
34 |
34 |
35 |
39 |
41 |
43 |
73 |
74 |
82 |
|
Source: World Bank Group 2007-2008
to 2016-2017 |
Table 22: Ease of Doing Business |
||||||||||||
Filtered Ranking During 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 (Rank 1 is the
best) |
||||||||||||
BRICS Economies |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
Average filtered ranking for the Decade |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4.27 |
|
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2.45 |
|
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4.73 |
|
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2.36 |
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1.18 |
|
Source: Author’s own
compilation from World Bank Group 2007-2008 to 2016-2017 |
According to the
filtered rankings, South Africa remains the preferred nation in terms of ease
of doing business for the period 2008-2018, of all the BRICS nations. This is
the result of improved EXIM policy, open economy, and economic reforms during
the aforementioned period. It can also be inferred that China is the next best
nation in terms of ease of doing business owing to flexible working and
regulatory policies.
Conclusion
BRICS is a consortium of one of the best developing nations of the
world that constitute over 40% of the global population. It is emerging as the
focal point in the international economic domain. With such dynamic
economic markets, BRICS is expected to contribute to more that half of the
economic growth by 2030.
Based on these facts, this study examined the factors that determine the flow
of FDI to BRICS economies. It was observed that market size, infrastructure
availability, ease of doing business, corruption practices, innovation index, labour
market efficiency, technological advancement, financial market development, and
availability of growing and effective market play the significant role in attracting
FDI to these countries.
One basis of the
parameters studied, a number of global business indexes have ranked both China
and South Africa as attractive FDI destinations in BRICS. China and South
Africa are two of the fastest growing economies of the world, having a rapid
population growth, expanding infrastructure, high productivity, diversified
labour force, well developed financial markets, technological readiness and
innovation, ease of doing business, competitive labour cost and conducive
regulatory policies. All these factors make China the most attractive
destination for Foreign Direct Investment in the BRICS.
This study has its limitations as it is
focused only on the factors favouring the flow FDI into BRICS nations. It would
have been more holistic if factors hindering FDI were also studied. There is
plenty of scope for further studies in the future, which may be studied on
factors hindering the flow of FDI into the BRICS economies.
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