Imapct factor(SJIF): 5.889
Earning Potential of Straddle and Strangle- Derivatives Strategies
CA. Anshul Kothari CFPCM
Earning potential of Straddle and Strangle– Derivatives Strategies
In recent years, there has been a rising interest in option strategies in the Indian Derivatives Market. This paper has analysed the profit potential of two derivatives options strategies namely, Straddle and Strangle in the context of Indian Derivatives Market. The analysis has been done using actual historical data of National Stock Exchange’s primary index, CNX Nifty 50 for a period of 5 years. 4 different strategies, Long Straddle, Short Straddle, Long Strangle and Short Strangle have been analysed for understanding their profit potential.
A Derivative security is a financial contract whose value is derived from the value of some underlying asset, such as a stock, a commodity, an exchange rate, an interest rate, or even an index of prices.
Derivatives may be traded for a variety of reasons. A derivative enables a trader to hedge some pre-existing risk by taking positions in derivatives markets that offset potential losses in the underlying or spot market. In India, most derivatives users describe themselves as hedgers (Fitch Ratings, 2004) and Indian laws generally require that derivatives be used for hedging purposes only. Another motive for derivatives trading is speculation (taking positions to profit from anticipated price movements)
In the Indian context, the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 (SC(R) A) defines "Derivative" to include-
Derivatives are securities under the SC(R) A and hence the trading of derivatives is governed by the regulatory framework under the SC(R) A.
As per reserve bank of India:
“an instrument, to be settled at a future date, whose value is derived from change in interest rate, foreign exchange rate, credit rating or credit index, price of securities (also called ‘underlying’)’ or a combination of more than one of them and includes interest rate swaps, foreign currency-rupee swaps, foreign currency options, foreign currency rupee options or such other instruments as may be specified by the bank from time to time”
Following is a brief description of various types of Derivatives Contracts
A forward contract is a customized contract between two entities, where settlement takes place on a specific date in the future at today's pre-agreed price. In forwards, the counterparty risk is too high and mostly they are traded as over-the-counter (OTC) products.
A futures contract is a standardized exchange traded forward contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future at a certain price. In futures, the counterparty is derivative exchange and hence the counterparty risk is negligible. The liquidity of futures is high as it is market traded instrument.
The other various derivatives instruments are LEAPs, Baskets and SWAPs and other Exotic options
Combining any of the four basic kinds of option trades (Long Call, Short Call, Long Put and Short Put) and the two basic kinds of stock trades (long and short) allows a variety of options strategies. Simple strategies usually combine only a few trades, while more complicated strategies can combine several. There are various types of option strategies such as Covered Call Writing, Protective Put, Money Spread, Time Spread and Calendar Spread, Butterfly, Box Spread and Combination strategies like STRIPs, STRAPs, Straddle, Strangle etc.
This paper evaluates the profit potential of four options strategies namely, Long Straddle, Short Straddle, Long Strangle and Short Strangle using actual market data from the official website of National Stock Exchange of India, www.nseindia.com.The paper analyses the above strategies to the futures and options segment ofCNX Nifty 50 index of the National Stock Exchange of India.
CNX Nifty 50 Index
The CNX NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd. (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.
NIFTY 50 Index has shaped up as the largest single financial product in India, with an ecosystem comprising: exchange traded funds (onshore and offshore), exchange-traded futures and options (at NSE in India and at SGX and CME abroad), other index funds and OTC derivatives (mostly offshore). NIFTY 50 is the world’s most actively traded contract.The NIFTY 50 covers 22 sectors of the Indian economy and offers investment managers exposure to the Indian market in one portfolio.
The NIFTY 50 index is a free float market capitalisation weighted index. The Nifty 50 index tracks the behaviour of a portfolio of blue chip companies, the largest and most liquid Indian securities. It includes 50 companies listed on the NSE, captures approximately 65% of its float adjusted market capitalization.The index was initially calculated on full market capitalisation methodology. From June 26, 2009, the computation was changed to free float methodology. The base period for the CNX Nifty index is November 3, 1995, which marked the completion of one year of operations of National Stock Exchange Equity Market Segment. The base value of the index was set at 1000, and a base capital was 2.06 trillion.
Trading in derivative contracts based on Nifty 50 The National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE) commenced trading in derivatives with index futures on June 12, 2000. The futures contracts on the NSE are based on the Nifty 50. The exchange introduced trading on index options based on the Nifty 50 on June 4, 2001. The CNX Nifty is professionally maintained and is ideal for Derivatives trading.
Period of Study
The paper studies the profit potential of the above mentioned 4 strategies in the above index for a period of 5 years (60 Monthly contracts) starting from April 1, 2011 and to March 31, 2016.
Following points are important to understand the results of the analysis
ANALYSIS OF DATA
From the above analysis, we can conclude that long straddle is a profitable strategy in the Indian Derviatives Market. Applying long straddle on Nifty for a period of 60 months an investor could have earned a profit of 16,958.75 without transaction costs and 13,356.75 when transaction costs are considered. The strategy has been applied uniformly throughout the study period. The profit and loss on the expiry of each contract has been volatile but overall the net position has been positive. The return on average capital invested of 12,231.13 is 14.85% p.a. which is higher than traditional investment in CNX Nifty. While applying the above strategy, it was observed that the Call options were exercised 34 times whereas Put options were exercised 26 times. Overall it can be said that Indian derivatives market are volatile as long straddle is profitable when the prices are volatile but the direction of their movement cannot be predicted with certainty. The following chart depicts the profit/loss on the strategy at the end of each contract expiry.
From the above table, we have observed that Short Straddle does not have earning potential in the context of Indian Derivatives market. As witnessed from the table, the strategy when applied to Nifty for past 5 years on monthly basis have resulted in loss of 40,859.87 even when transaction costs are not considered. The loss however, shoots up to 44,461.87 when transaction costs of Rs 3,602.00 are considered. This analysis reveals that Indian derivatives market is not suitable for systematic speculation as Short Straddle has not resulted in Profit. The Profit/Loss as on the expiry of each contract has been highly volatile as witnessed in the following table:
From the above table, we can observe that like long straddle, long strangle strategy has also resulted in profit when applied to Indian Derivatives Market. When applied uniformly to Nifty for a period of 5 years over 60 contracts, the strategy has resulted in a profit of 4836.25 when transaction costs are not considered and 1,234.75 when transaction costs are considered. The return on an average capital invested of 9,190.35 is 2.52% p.a. The reduced amount of profit is in accordance with the concept of strangle being a more conservative (less risky) strategy. Overall during the study, it was found that the call price was exercised 27 times and put options were exercised 21 times and no options were exercised on the remaining 12 contracts. The profit/loss on the expiry of each contract is presented in the following chart.
From the above table, we have observed that applying Short Strangle strategy in the Indian Derivatives Market has resulted in a loss. Since the long strategy resulted in a profit it was evident that the short strategy would result in loss. The strategy overall when applied to 60 successive months taking monthly contracts have resulted in a loss of Rs. 30,253.54 when the transaction costs are not considered, and has swelled up to Rs. 33,855.04 when transaction costs are considered. Even the profit/loss value at the end of each contract has been highly volatile to provide any useful insight. This can be witnessed from the following chart. During the study, it was observed that the Nifty prices have breached the OTM Call strike price 27 times and the OTM Put strike price 21 times and the 12 times it has remained within the level of the two strike prices.
Return on Traditional Nifty Investment during the period
The investment horizon has been divided into 3 periods due to the lot size changes in the futures and options segment of the CNX Nifty 50. The three periods respectively are
Calculation of Compounded Return under Traditional Investment in Nifty (without transaction Charges)
Holding Period 1 (01-04-2011 to 26-06-2014) – 9.43%
Holding Period 2 (27-07-2014 to 30-07-2015) – (-1.09%)
Holding Period 3 (31-07-2015 to 31-03-2016) – (11.60%)
Total Compounded Return without transaction Charges – 5.87%
Calculation of Compounded Return under Traditional Investment in Nifty (with transaction Charges)
Holding Period 1 (01-04-2011 to 26-06-2014) – 9.42%
Holding Period 2 (27-07-2014 to 30-07-2015) – (-1.10%)
Holding Period 3 (31-07-2015 to 31-03-2016) – (-11.62%)
Total Compounded Return without transaction Charges – 5.85%
Looking at the above analysis, it can be concluded that Indian derivatives market are highly volatile and therefore Long Straddle and Long Strangle strategies are profitable. Though the amount of profit is low, it is because of high options prices which ranges between 2 to 2.5% of the strike price. Long straddle strategy achieved an annual return of 14.85% p.a. which is higher than the return under traditional investment in CNX Nifty which was only 5.85% p.a.Overall, the long strategies were profitable and the short strategies resulted in losses. The higher losses in short strategies were due to the loss of interest on margin which was not the part of cost in long strategies. Also, transaction costs are always an outflow which further magnifies the loss in short strategies.
Overall it can be concluded that bullish on volatility strategies, Strangle and Straddle (Long) were more successful whereas the short strategies resulted in losses.
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